Mets at Giants
Last play · Patrick Bailey flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYM 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 0 SF
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcus Semien homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Mark Vientos scores. (inning 4) — -17% Mets
9Carson Benge grounds into a force out, second baseman Luis Arraez to shortstop Willy Adames. Brett Baty scores. Marcus Semien out at 2nd. Carson Benge to 1st.10–3
9Brett Baty doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Luis Robert Jr. scores.9–3
8Luis Arraez singles on a fly ball to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Jerar Encarnacion scores. Willy Adames to 3rd.8–3
7Mark Vientos singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Bo Bichette scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 2nd.8–2
7Luis Robert Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Francisco Lindor scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd.7–2
7Francisco Alvarez homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.6–2
6Luis Arraez grounds out, first baseman Brett Baty to pitcher Brooks Raley.5–2
6Willy Adames hits a ground-rule double (2) on a line drive to right-center field. Harrison Bader scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






