Mets at Giants
Last play · Jung Hoo Lee strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYM 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 0 SF
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+107 / -129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Torrens doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luis Robert Jr. scores. (inning 8) — -52% Mets
8Marcus Semien doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Mark Vientos scores.5–2
8Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to third baseman Matt Chapman. Luis Torrens scores. Mark Vientos to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Matt Chapman.4–2
8Luis Torrens doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luis Robert Jr. scores.3–2
6Rafael Devers singles on a fly ball to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Matt Chapman scores.1–2
6Matt Chapman doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jared Young. Patrick Bailey scores.1–1
2Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Luis Robert Jr. scores. Jared Young to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






