Guardians at Mariners
Last play · Dominic Canzone lines out sharply to shortstop Gabriel Arias.
Win probability
Mariners0%
CLE 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 3 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+144 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Brayan Rocchio scores. Chase DeLauter scores. (inning 7) — -31% Guardians
9Chase DeLauter homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.6–4
7Dominic Canzone homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.5–4
7José Ramírez doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Brayan Rocchio scores. Chase DeLauter scores.5–3
5Luke Raley homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–3
5Brayan Rocchio doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Rhys Hoskins scores. Daniel Schneemann scores.3–2
2Dominic Canzone homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
1Brendan Donovan homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Chase DeLauter homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






