Guardians at Mariners
Last play · CJ Kayfus grounds out, shortstop Leo Rivas to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Mariners100%
CLE 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+158 / -193
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cole Young homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Randy Arozarena scores. Dominic Canzone scores. (inning 4) — +38% Mariners
6Luke Raley homers (2) on a line drive to right field. Randy Arozarena scores.1–5
4Cole Young homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Randy Arozarena scores. Dominic Canzone scores.1–3
1Chase DeLauter homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






