Guardians at Mariners
CLE6–
SEA5Last play · Cole Young strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
CLE 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 2 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez singles on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Cole Young scores. (inning 9) — +42% Mariners
10Luke Raley homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Randy Arozarena scores.6–5
10Chase DeLauter homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Steven Kwan scores.6–3
10Steven Kwan singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Brendan Donovan. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 2nd. Steven Kwan advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by third baseman Brendan Donovan.4–3
9Julio Rodríguez singles on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Cole Young scores.3–3
7Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. CJ Kayfus scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. Steven Kwan to 2nd.3–2
6Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. José Ramírez scores.2–2
6José Ramírez doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Brayan Rocchio scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.1–2
4Leo Rivas walks. Randy Arozarena scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Joey Cantillo.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.