Yankees at Mariners
Last play · Cal Raleigh singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Leo Rivas scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.
Win probability
Mariners100%
NYY 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 1 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Amed Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Ben Rice scores. (inning 7) — -22% Yankees
9Cal Raleigh singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Leo Rivas scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.1–2
7Amed Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Ben Rice scores.1–1
2Cole Young singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Randy Arozarena scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






