Rays at Cardinals
Last play · JJ Wetherholt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Nathan Church scores. Jordan Walker scores.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
TB 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · JJ Wetherholt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Nathan Church scores. Jordan Walker scores. (inning 10) — +39% Cardinals
10JJ Wetherholt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Nathan Church scores. Jordan Walker scores.5–6
10Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Ben Williamson scores.5–4
9Nick Fortes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Carson Williams scores. Nick Fortes to 2nd.4–4
9Carson Williams singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nathan Church. Junior Caminero scores. Chandler Simpson scores.3–4
9Chandler Simpson singles on a ground ball to second baseman JJ Wetherholt. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd. Throwing error by second baseman JJ Wetherholt.1–4
8Alec Burleson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Victor Scott II scores.0–4
8Iván Herrera doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jordan Walker scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd.0–3
1Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Gorman to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






