Rays at Cardinals
TB7–
STL9Last play · Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
TB 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 1 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Victor Scott II scores. (inning 6) — +31% Cardinals
6Alec Burleson homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Victor Scott II scores.7–9
6Iván Herrera out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Pedro Pagés scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd.7–7
6JJ Wetherholt out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Nathan Church scores. Pedro Pagés to 3rd.7–6
6Nathan Church singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Nolan Gorman scores. Jordan Walker scores.7–5
6Nolan Gorman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Alec Burleson scores. Masyn Winn scores.7–3
6Nick Fortes singles on a ground ball to shortstop Masyn Winn. Ben Williamson scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd.7–1
6Jonny DeLuca singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Chandler Simpson scores. Junior Caminero scores. Ben Williamson to 3rd.6–1
6Ben Williamson singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Chris Roycroft. Yandy Díaz scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd. Junior Caminero to 2nd.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.