Reds at Rangers
Last play · Brandon Nimmo strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Rangers0%
CIN 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 2 TEX
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+137 / -166
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 9) — -41% Reds
9Tyler Stephenson homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Steer scores.5–3
7Wyatt Langford doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–3
6Elly De La Cruz homers (3) on a line drive to left center field.3–2
2Danny Jansen doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Josh Jung scores. Evan Carter scores.2–2
2Spencer Steer homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Eugenio Suárez scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






