Reds at Rangers
Last play · Josh Jung strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers0%
CIN 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 0 TEX
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joc Pederson homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 7) — +28% Rangers
8Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Matt McLain scores.2–1
7Joc Pederson homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
4Eugenio Suárez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Elly De La Cruz scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






