Athletics at Blue Jays
Last play · Max Muncy strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
ATH 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 2 – 5 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+129 / -156
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Heineman scores. (inning 3) — +17% Blue Jays
5Addison Barger walks. Tyler Heineman scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.2–5
5Max Muncy homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jacob Wilson scores.2–4
4Kazuma Okamoto homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4
3Jesús Sánchez homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Heineman scores.0–3
1George Springer homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.






