Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Daniel Schneemann grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Guardians0%
DET 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 1 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wenceel Pérez singles on a line drive to right fielder George Valera. Javier Báez scores. Parker Meadows scores. Kerry Carpenter to 3rd. (inning 7) — -22% Tigers
8Tigers challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: José Ramírez reaches on a missed catch error by pitcher Will Vest, assist to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez out at 2nd, pitcher Will Vest to shortstop Javier Báez.6–3
7Riley Greene singles on a line drive to right fielder George Valera. Wenceel Pérez scores. Spencer Torkelson to 2nd.6–1
7Spencer Torkelson singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Kerry Carpenter scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd.5–1
7Wenceel Pérez singles on a line drive to right fielder George Valera. Javier Báez scores. Parker Meadows scores. Kerry Carpenter to 3rd.4–1
6Dillon Dingler homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
4José Ramírez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. George Valera scores.1–1
3Kerry Carpenter doubles (1) on a ground ball to second baseman Brayan Rocchio, deflected by first baseman CJ Kayfus. Parker Meadows scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








