Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Dillon Dingler lines out to first baseman CJ Kayfus.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 1 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 8) — +29% Guardians
8Bo Naylor homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Daniel Schneemann scores. José Ramírez scores.1–6
8Daniel Schneemann doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Steven Kwan scores.1–3
8Brayan Rocchio homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
4Guardians challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Javier Báez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Chase DeLauter. Riley Greene scores. Zach McKinstry out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Chase DeLauter to third baseman José Ramírez. Dillon Dingler to 3rd.1–1
1George Valera homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








