Padres at Cubs

Scoreboard

SD1–CHC3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · SD 0-1 · CHC 1-0

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
CHC	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	·	3	6	1

Last play · Xander Bogaerts called out on strikes.

Win probability

Cubs100%

SD 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 1 – 2 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

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Total runs

6.5

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+115 / -135

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (1) on a line drive to center field. (inning 5) — +22% Cubs

Scoring plays

SD–CHC · 4 total

8Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Dansby Swanson scores.1–3

5Carson Kelly homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2

5Seiya Suzuki homers (1) on a line drive to center field.1–1

2Xander Bogaerts doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd. Xander Bogaerts advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.