Blue Jays at Yankees
TOR6–
NYY9Last play · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, third baseman José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TOR 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 6 – 8 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Wells scores. Trent Grisham scores. (inning 4) — +38% Yankees
6Ben Rice out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Aaron Judge scores.6–9
5Austin Wells singles on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Amed Rosario scores. Austin Wells out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Anthony Santander to catcher Alejandro Kirk to shortstop Andrés Giménez.6–8
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.6–7
4Aaron Judge homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Wells scores. Trent Grisham scores.6–6
3Giancarlo Stanton out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Cody Bellinger scores.6–3
3Aaron Judge doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Davis Schneider. Trent Grisham scores.6–2
3Anthony Santander singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Daulton Varsho scores. Ernie Clement scores.6–1
3Ernie Clement singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho to 3rd. Ernie Clement to 2nd.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.