Blue Jays at Yankees
Last play · Cody Bellinger strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
TOR 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 1 NYY
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Ernie Clement scores. Andrés Giménez scores. (inning 7) — -22% Blue Jays
9Aaron Judge singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Myles Straw. Jasson Domínguez scores.5–2
8Myles Straw singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Alejandro Kirk scores.5–1
7Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Ernie Clement scores. Andrés Giménez scores.4–1
5George Springer out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Ernie Clement scores.2–1
3Ryan McMahon homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. George Springer scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








