Padres at Cubs

Scoreboard

SD1–CHC3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · SD 1-2 · CHC 2-1

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	7	0
CHC	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	·	3	13	0

Last play · Freddy Fermin flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Win probability

Cubs100%

SD 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 0 – 2 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 50% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Carson Kelly to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Cubs

Scoring plays

SD–CHC · 4 total

9Jackson Merrill homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3

7Michael Busch homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3

2Dansby Swanson walks. Seiya Suzuki scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.0–2

2Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Carson Kelly to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.