Mariners at Tigers
Last play · Parker Meadows lines into an unassisted double play, first baseman Josh Naylor. Andy Ibáñez out at 1st.
Win probability
Tigers0%
SEA 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 4 – 1 DET
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — -16% Mariners
9Andy Ibáñez singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Spencer Torkelson scores.8–4
9Spencer Torkelson doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Robles. Jake Rogers scores. Jahmai Jones scores.8–3
9Cal Raleigh homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Randy Arozarena scores.8–1
8J.P. Crawford out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. Luke Raley scores.6–1
6J.P. Crawford homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
5Kerry Carpenter grounds into a force out, second baseman Jorge Polanco to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Dillon Dingler scores. Javier Báez out at 2nd. Kerry Carpenter to 1st.4–1
4Cal Raleigh singles on a ground ball to center fielder Parker Meadows. Dominic Canzone scores. J.P. Crawford to 2nd.4–0
4Eugenio Suárez homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








