Mariners at Tigers
Last play · Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
SEA 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 3 – 3 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +26% Tigers
8Javier Báez grounds into a force out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to second baseman Jorge Polanco. Zach McKinstry scores. Dillon Dingler out at 2nd. Javier Báez to 1st.3–9
7Gleyber Torres homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–8
6Javier Báez homers (1) on a line drive to left field. Wenceel Pérez scores.3–7
6Zach McKinstry singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Robles. Spencer Torkelson scores.3–5
6Riley Greene homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4
5Javier Báez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jahmai Jones scores.3–3
5Jahmai Jones doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Dillon Dingler scores.3–2
5Dillon Dingler doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Zach McKinstry scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








