Dodgers at Phillies
Last play · Trea Turner grounds out, second baseman Tommy Edman to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
Win probability
Phillies0%
LAD 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 0 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Smith singles on a line drive to left fielder Otto Kemp. Freddie Freeman scores. Enrique Hernández scores. Max Muncy to 2nd. (inning 7) — -22% Dodgers
9Dodgers challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Nick Castellanos doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Enrique Hernández. Alec Bohm scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.4–3
8Trea Turner singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Dean. Max Kepler scores.4–1
7Shohei Ohtani singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Max Muncy scores. Will Smith to 3rd.4–0
7Will Smith singles on a line drive to left fielder Otto Kemp. Freddie Freeman scores. Enrique Hernández scores. Max Muncy to 2nd.3–0
7Phillies challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Enrique Hernández reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Trea Turner. Teoscar Hernández scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








