Dodgers at Phillies
Last play · Bryson Stott pops out to third baseman Max Muncy in foul territory.
Win probability
Phillies0%
LAD 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 3 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Teoscar Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Andy Pages scores. Will Smith scores. (inning 7) — -53% Dodgers
7Teoscar Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Andy Pages scores. Will Smith scores.5–3
6Enrique Hernández doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Freddie Freeman scores. Tommy Edman scores.2–3
2Harrison Bader out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. J.T. Realmuto scores.0–3
2J.T. Realmuto triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Alec Bohm scores. Brandon Marsh scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








