Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Caleb Durbin grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
MIL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 1) — +24% Cubs
8Michael Busch homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–6
7Kyle Tucker homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.0–5
6Matt Shaw singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Carson Kelly scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.0–4
1Ian Happ homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores. Kyle Tucker scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








