Phillies at Dodgers
Last play · Shohei Ohtani flies out to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
PHI 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 1 LAD
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — -16% Phillies
9Tommy Edman singles on a soft ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Enrique Hernández scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.8–2
8Kyle Schwarber homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Trea Turner scores.8–1
8Trea Turner singles on a line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Max Kepler scores. Nick Castellanos scores.6–1
8J.T. Realmuto homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–1
4Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Enrique Hernández. Alec Bohm scores.3–1
4Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to center fielder Andy Pages. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd. Throwing error by center fielder Andy Pages.2–1
4Kyle Schwarber homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Tommy Edman homers (2) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








