Blue Jays at Dodgers
Last play · Freddie Freeman homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
TOR 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 4 – 4 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -190
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Kirk homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Bo Bichette scores. (inning 4) — -38% Blue Jays
18Freddie Freeman homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.5–6
7Shohei Ohtani homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.5–5
7Bo Bichette singles on a ground ball to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.5–4
5Freddie Freeman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Addison Barger. Shohei Ohtani scores.4–4
5Shohei Ohtani doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Enrique Hernández scores.4–3
4Andrés Giménez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Addison Barger scores. Ernie Clement to 2nd.4–2
4Alejandro Kirk homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Bo Bichette scores.3–2
3Shohei Ohtani homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








