Dodgers at Blue Jays
Last play · Mookie Betts strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
LAD 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 2 – 2 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Alejandro Kirk scores. (inning 4) — +27% Blue Jays
7Shohei Ohtani homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Tommy Edman scores.4–11
6Alejandro Kirk homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.2–11
6Addison Barger hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Nathan Lukes scores. Andrés Giménez scores. George Springer scores.2–9
6Andrés Giménez singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Daulton Varsho scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd. Nathan Lukes to 2nd.2–5
6Nathan Lukes walks. Alejandro Kirk scores. Daulton Varsho to 3rd. Ernie Clement to 2nd.2–4
6Ernie Clement singles on a ground ball to center fielder Andy Pages. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.2–3
4Daulton Varsho homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Alejandro Kirk scores.2–2
3Will Smith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Myles Straw. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Myles Straw to shortstop Andrés Giménez to third baseman Ernie Clement. Will Smith to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








