Guardians at Twins
Last play · Trevor Larnach grounds out softly, pitcher Kolby Allard to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
Win probability
Twins0%
CLE 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 5 – 0 MIN
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Naylor homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — -16% Guardians
8Bo Naylor homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.6–0
5Angel Martínez walks.5–0
5Daniel Schneemann homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.4–0
2George Valera homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
2Bo Naylor homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
1José Ramírez homers (30) on a line drive to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








