Athletics at Red Sox
Last play · Nick Sogard reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Zack Gelof. Nate Eaton scores.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
ATH 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 4 – 3 BOS
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Darell Hernaiz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran, deflected by second baseman Romy Gonzalez. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Jacob Wilson scores. Lawrence Butler to 3rd. (inning 5) — -28% Athletics
10Nick Sogard reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Zack Gelof. Nate Eaton scores.4–5
6Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.4–4
5Masataka Yoshida singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd. Trevor Story to 2nd.4–3
5Darell Hernaiz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran, deflected by second baseman Romy Gonzalez. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Jacob Wilson scores. Lawrence Butler to 3rd.4–2
5Lawrence Butler walks. Shea Langeliers scores. Tyler Soderstrom to 3rd. Jacob Wilson to 2nd.2–2
2Rob Refsnyder homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
2Darell Hernaiz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Lawrence Butler scores. Carlos Cortes to 3rd.1–1
1Masataka Yoshida singles on a line drive to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Trevor Story scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








