Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Wenceel Pérez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 0 DET
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Gabriel Arias scores. (inning 6) — -14% Guardians
9Bo Naylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Jahmai Jones. Daniel Schneemann scores. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd.4–0
6Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Gabriel Arias scores.2–0
3George Valera singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. CJ Kayfus scores. Steven Kwan to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








