Rangers at Astros
Last play · Josh Jung grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
Win probability
Astros100%
TEX 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Astros favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (26) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 3) — +23% Astros
5Jeremy Peña homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.2–5
3Jose Altuve homers (26) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Correa scores.2–4
2Cody Freeman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Josh Jung scores.2–2
2Josh Jung doubles (21) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Alejandro Osuna scores.1–2
1Yainer Diaz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alejandro Osuna. Jeremy Peña scores. Carlos Correa scores. Victor Caratini to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








