Angels at Brewers
Last play · Christian Moore called out on strikes.
Win probability
Brewers100%
LAA 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Blake Perkins singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. William Contreras scores. Brice Turang scores. Jake Bauers to 2nd. (inning 2) — +20% Brewers
8Blake Perkins triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Christian Yelich scores. Brice Turang scores. Caleb Durbin scores.2–9
6Caleb Durbin reaches on a throwing error by pitcher José Ureña. William Contreras scores. Brice Turang to 3rd. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.2–6
6Taylor Ward homers (33) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
4Taylor Ward homers (32) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5
2Sal Frelick homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Jake Bauers scores. Blake Perkins scores.0–5
2Blake Perkins singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. William Contreras scores. Brice Turang scores. Jake Bauers to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








