Orioles at White Sox
Last play · Colson Montgomery flies out to left fielder Dylan Carlson.
Win probability
White Sox0%
BAL 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 1 CWS
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Beavers homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Coby Mayo scores. (inning 4) — -21% Orioles
4Mike Tauchman homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
4Dylan Beavers homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Coby Mayo scores.3–0
1Jeremiah Jackson singles on a sharp ground ball to shortstop Colson Montgomery, deflected by third baseman Miguel Vargas. Gunnar Henderson scores. Tyler O'Neill to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








