Athletics at Red Sox
Last play · Nick Sogard strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
ATH 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 4 – 2 BOS
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brent Rooker homers (30) on a fly ball to left field. Lawrence Butler scores. (inning 1) — -21% Athletics
8Trevor Story homers (25) on a fly ball to center field.5–3
7Nick Kurtz reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Trevor Story. Lawrence Butler scores.5–2
3Jacob Wilson singles on a ground ball to shortstop Trevor Story. Nick Kurtz scores. Tyler Soderstrom to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Trevor Story.4–2
2David Hamilton homers (5) on a line drive to right center field.3–2
1Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder JJ Bleday. Trevor Story scores. Alex Bregman to 2nd.3–1
1Tyler Soderstrom singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Nick Kurtz scores.3–0
1Brent Rooker homers (30) on a fly ball to left field. Lawrence Butler scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








