Giants at D-backs
Last play · Blaze Alexander strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs0%
SF 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 0 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Koss doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Jerar Encarnacion scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd. (inning 11) — -29% Giants
11Corbin Carroll out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jerar Encarnacion. Geraldo Perdomo scores.5–1
11Rafael Devers singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Christian Koss scores.5–0
11Grant McCray out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Patrick Bailey scores.4–0
11Christian Koss doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Jerar Encarnacion scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd.3–0
11Jerar Encarnacion singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Matt Chapman scores. Jung Hoo Lee to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








