Marlins at Rockies
MIA8–
COL4Last play · Ezequiel Tovar grounds into a force out, third baseman Connor Norby to second baseman Javier Sanoja. Jordan Beck out at 2nd.
Win probability
Rockies0%
MIA 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 3 COL
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Beck singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Hunter Goodman scores. (inning 4) — +16% Rockies
9Mickey Moniak homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.8–4
9Joey Wiemer singles on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Graham Pauley scores.8–3
8Agustín Ramírez homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Javier Sanoja scores.7–3
7Heriberto Hernández out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Graham Pauley scores.5–3
6Agustín Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Heriberto Hernández scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. Jakob Marsee to 2nd.4–3
4Jordan Beck singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Hunter Goodman scores.3–3
4Jakob Marsee singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Troy Johnston scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.3–2
4Javier Sanoja doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Heriberto Hernández scores. Troy Johnston to 3rd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.