Angels at Brewers
Last play · Chris Taylor flies out to center fielder Blake Perkins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
LAA 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 1 MIL
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Rengifo homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Jo Adell scores. (inning 5) — -31% Angels
7Andrew Vaughn out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Ward. William Contreras scores.2–5
7Christian Yelich doubles (20) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras to 3rd.2–4
7Brice Turang singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Chris Taylor. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang to 2nd.2–3
6Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to center fielder Chris Taylor. Christian Yelich scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd.2–2
5Luis Rengifo homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Jo Adell scores.2–1
4Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to shortstop Denzer Guzman. Andrew Vaughn scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








