Marlins at Rockies
Last play · Jordan Beck grounds out softly, pitcher Calvin Faucher to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Rockies0%
MIA 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 2 COL
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Liam Hicks homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Agustín Ramírez scores. (inning 3) — -23% Marlins
9Mickey Moniak homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan Ritter scores.9–7
9Ryan Ritter doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Joey Wiemer. Yanquiel Fernández scores.9–5
9Blaine Crim homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.9–4
9Heriberto Hernández homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Jakob Marsee scores.9–3
8Troy Johnston singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Eric Wagaman scores.7–3
7Yanquiel Fernández homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.6–3
7Liam Hicks singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Jakob Marsee scores. Agustín Ramírez scores.6–2
3Otto Lopez homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








