Braves at Tigers
Last play · Riley Greene grounds out, first baseman Matt Olson to pitcher Hunter Stratton.
Win probability
Tigers0%
ATL 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 6 – 1 DET
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Matt Olson scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Drake Baldwin to 2nd. (inning 1) — -16% Braves
9Drake Baldwin homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Jurickson Profar scores.10–1
8Ha-Seong Kim homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Ozzie Albies scores.8–1
4Spencer Torkelson homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
2Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Matt Olson scores.6–0
2Matt Olson doubles (40) on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores.4–0
1Ozzie Albies singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Matt Olson scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Drake Baldwin to 2nd.3–0
1Drake Baldwin walks. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








