Athletics at Pirates
Last play · Tommy Pham grounds into a double play, third baseman Brett Harris to second baseman Darell Hernaiz to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Andrew McCutchen out at 2nd. Tommy Pham out at 1st.
Win probability
Pirates0%
ATH 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 4 – 3 PIT
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Pirates favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lawrence Butler homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Carlos Cortes scores. Zack Gelof scores. (inning 5) — -41% Athletics
5Lawrence Butler homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Carlos Cortes scores. Zack Gelof scores.4–3
4Nick Kurtz homers (33) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
1Nick Gonzales out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–3
1Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.0–2
1Spencer Horwitz doubles (23) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Jared Triolo scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








