Nationals at Mets
WSH6–
NYM12Last play · Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
WSH 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 6 – 8 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mets favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Alvarez doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Brandon Nimmo scores. Starling Marte scores. (inning 4) — +27% Mets
8Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Juan Soto scores. Pete Alonso scores. Luisangel Acuña to 3rd.6–12
8Luisangel Acuña walks. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto to 3rd. Pete Alonso to 2nd.6–10
7Starling Marte grounds out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Josh Bell. Luisangel Acuña scores.6–9
5CJ Abrams homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Jacob Young scores.6–8
4Juan Soto homers (42) on a fly ball to center field. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Lindor scores.4–8
4Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Francisco Alvarez scores. Brett Baty to 3rd. Francisco Lindor to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder James Wood.4–5
4Francisco Alvarez doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Brandon Nimmo scores. Starling Marte scores.4–4
3Pete Alonso singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto to 2nd.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.