Braves at Tigers
Last play · Gleyber Torres lines out to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr.
Win probability
Tigers0%
ATL 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 2 DET
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nacho Alvarez Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Ozzie Albies scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Braves
9Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Nacho Alvarez Jr. to 3rd. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.6–5
9Nacho Alvarez Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Ozzie Albies scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 2nd.5–5
8Nacho Alvarez Jr. homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.4–5
7Spencer Torkelson homers (31) on a fly ball to left field. Jahmai Jones scores.3–5
6Zach McKinstry homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
3Wenceel Pérez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jahmai Jones scores.3–2
3Drake Baldwin homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.3–1
3Nacho Alvarez Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








