Giants at Dodgers
Last play · Matt Chapman pops out to shortstop Mookie Betts.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
SF 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 5 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani homers (52) on a fly ball to left field. Andy Pages scores. Enrique Hernández scores. (inning 5) — +40% Dodgers
7Matt Chapman singles on a line drive to center fielder Tommy Edman. Willy Adames scores.3–6
6Andy Pages doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Miguel Rojas scores.2–6
5Mookie Betts homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.2–5
5Shohei Ohtani homers (52) on a fly ball to left field. Andy Pages scores. Enrique Hernández scores.2–4
3Wilmer Flores singles on a line drive to center fielder Tommy Edman. Matt Chapman scores.2–1
2Miguel Rojas homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
1Heliot Ramos homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








