Marlins at Rangers
Last play · Adolis García grounds out, third baseman Connor Norby to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Rangers0%
MIA 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 1 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rowdy Tellez homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Jake Burger scores. (inning 10) — +62% Rangers
12Jake Burger out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Ezequiel Duran scores.6–4
12Dane Myers singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Duran. Brian Navarreto scores.6–3
12Brian Navarreto doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Freeman. Jakob Marsee scores.5–3
12Jakob Marsee doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Agustín Ramírez scores.4–3
10Rowdy Tellez homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Jake Burger scores.3–3
10Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Otto Lopez scores. Joey Wiemer to 3rd. Xavier Edwards to 2nd.3–1
10Otto Lopez doubles (19) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Helman. Agustín Ramírez scores.2–1
7Javier Sanoja homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








