Padres at White Sox
Last play · Will Robertson lines out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
Win probability
White Sox0%
SD 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 2 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-180 / +150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Robertson. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Gavin Sheets scores. (inning 6) — -39% Padres
9Lenyn Sosa homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field.7–3
9Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.7–2
8Gavin Sheets singles on a line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Jackson Merrill scores.6–2
6Ryan O'Hearn doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Robertson. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Gavin Sheets scores.5–2
6Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.2–2
3Kyle Teel doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Chase Meidroth scores.1–2
2Jackson Merrill homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Miguel Vargas doubles (32) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Colson Montgomery scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








