Guardians at Twins
Last play · DaShawn Keirsey Jr. grounds out to first baseman CJ Kayfus.
Win probability
Twins0%
CLE 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 6 – 0 MIN
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to center fielder James Outman. Brayan Rocchio scores. Petey Halpin scores. (inning 5) — -28% Guardians
8Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to center fielder James Outman. Brayan Rocchio scores. Petey Halpin scores. Austin Hedges to 2nd.8–0
5CJ Kayfus singles on a ground ball to center fielder James Outman. Gabriel Arias scores.6–0
5Gabriel Arias doubles (24) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder James Outman. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo scores.5–0
5Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson McCusker. Daniel Schneemann scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.3–0
5Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to center fielder James Outman. Brayan Rocchio scores. Petey Halpin scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








