Braves at Tigers
Last play · Wenceel Pérez flies out to left fielder Jurickson Profar.
Win probability
Tigers0%
ATL 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 0 DET
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Vidal Bruján scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. (inning 3) — -14% Braves
9Riley Greene out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Gleyber Torres scores.6–2
9Gleyber Torres doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Jahmai Jones scores.6–1
9Michael Harris II doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Ozzie Albies scores.6–0
9Ha-Seong Kim out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. Drake Baldwin scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.5–0
9Ozzie Albies doubles (23) on a ground ball to right fielder Jahmai Jones. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd.4–0
5Drake Baldwin triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Matt Olson scores.3–0
4Ha-Seong Kim homers (5) on a line drive to left center field.2–0
3Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Vidal Bruján scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








