Athletics at Pirates
Last play · Willie MacIver strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
ATH 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 0 – 10 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Pirates favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared Triolo homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Yorke scores. (inning 2) — +11% Pirates
8Spencer Horwitz grounds out, first baseman Brett Harris to pitcher Scott McGough. Jared Triolo scores. Alexander Canario to 2nd.0–11
5Joey Bart homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Andrew McCutchen scores. Jack Suwinski scores.0–10
4Jared Triolo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Oneil Cruz scores.0–7
4Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Joey Bart scores. Nick Yorke scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd. Oneil Cruz advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Carlos Cortes.0–6
2Jared Triolo homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Yorke scores.0–4
1Nick Gonzales doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Spencer Horwitz scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.0–2
1Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Bryan Reynolds scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








