Giants at Dodgers
Last play · Matt Chapman grounds out sharply, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
SF 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 4 – 5 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Eldridge doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Heliot Ramos scores. Willy Adames scores. Matt Chapman scores. (inning 1) — -28% Giants
7Rafael Devers homers (32) on a line drive to right center field.5–7
6Teoscar Hernández singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos, deflected by third baseman Matt Chapman. Mookie Betts scores.4–7
6Shohei Ohtani homers (53) on a fly ball to left center field.4–6
5Tommy Edman homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.4–5
4Freddie Freeman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Drew Gilbert. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts to 3rd.4–4
4Michael Conforto homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
1Max Muncy homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Freddie Freeman scores.4–2
1Drew Gilbert walks. Bryce Eldridge scores. Jung Hoo Lee to 3rd. Casey Schmitt to 2nd.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








