Giants at Dodgers
Last play · Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
SF 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 0 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames walks. Drew Gilbert scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd. Rafael Devers to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Giants
8Matt Chapman grounds out softly, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Patrick Bailey scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Willy Adames to 2nd.3–1
8Willy Adames walks. Drew Gilbert scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd. Rafael Devers to 2nd.2–1
8Patrick Bailey hits a ground-rule double (17) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Christian Koss scores. Drew Gilbert to 3rd.1–1
7Michael Conforto singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Max Muncy scores. Andy Pages to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








