Marlins at Rangers
Last play · Michael Helman flies out to second baseman Xavier Edwards.
Win probability
Rangers0%
MIA 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 0 TEX
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Freeman singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Josh Jung scores. (inning 6) — +16% Rangers
7Brian Navarreto out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Helman. Graham Pauley scores.4–2
6Cody Freeman singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Josh Jung scores.3–2
6Wyatt Langford homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
5Agustín Ramírez doubles (33) on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Jakob Marsee scores.3–0
4Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Otto Lopez scores.2–0
4Otto Lopez doubles (20) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Xavier Edwards scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








