Guardians at Twins
Last play · Daniel Schneemann flies out to left fielder Austin Martin.
Win probability
Twins100%
CLE 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 1 MIN
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Luke Keaschall scores. (inning 6) — +34% Twins
7Royce Lewis homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Kody Clemens scores. Austin Martin scores.2–6
6Brooks Lee homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Luke Keaschall scores.2–3
3Kody Clemens singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Byron Buxton scores.2–1
1Bo Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. George Valera scores.2–0
1Steven Kwan homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








